Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000644 0.000733 0.000826 0.000932 0.001049 0.001174 0.001316
2025-10-19 0.000503 0.000625 0.000763 0.000929 0.001124 0.001343 0.001606
2025-10-26 0.000420 0.000555 0.000715 0.000916 0.001160 0.001445 0.001800
2025-11-02 0.000367 0.000512 0.000691 0.000924 0.001217 0.001568 0.002017
2025-11-09 0.000323 0.000474 0.000666 0.000925 0.001259 0.001670 0.002208
2025-11-16 0.000276 0.000424 0.000621 0.000895 0.001258 0.001716 0.002327
2025-11-23 0.000238 0.000384 0.000585 0.000872 0.001262 0.001764 0.002448
2025-11-30 0.000213 0.000359 0.000565 0.000868 0.001289 0.001841 0.002606
2025-12-07 0.000192 0.000337 0.000549 0.000867 0.001319 0.001922 0.002770
2025-12-14 0.000171 0.000314 0.000528 0.000857 0.001335 0.001983 0.002908
2025-12-21 0.000152 0.000291 0.000505 0.000843 0.001343 0.002033 0.003030
2025-12-28 0.000144 0.000285 0.000508 0.000867 0.001405 0.002158 0.003258
2026-01-04 0.000134 0.000276 0.000506 0.000882 0.001456 0.002269 0.003471
2026-01-11 0.000121 0.000259 0.000489 0.000874 0.001473 0.002332 0.003618
2026-01-18 0.000108 0.000242 0.000471 0.000863 0.001482 0.002384 0.003749
2026-01-25 0.000100 0.000232 0.000465 0.000870 0.001520 0.002479 0.003943
2026-02-01 0.000092 0.000222 0.000455 0.000871 0.001548 0.002557 0.004116
2026-02-08 0.000080 0.000202 0.000429 0.000842 0.001528 0.002564 0.004183
2026-02-15 0.000070 0.000186 0.000408 0.000820 0.001516 0.002582 0.004267
2026-02-22 0.000064 0.000176 0.000397 0.000816 0.001534 0.002645 0.004417
2026-03-01 0.000059 0.000168 0.000389 0.000816 0.001556 0.002716 0.004580
2026-03-08 0.000053 0.000158 0.000377 0.000806 0.001563 0.002762 0.004708
2026-03-15 0.000047 0.000148 0.000362 0.000793 0.001563 0.002797 0.004817